Nevada vs California 9/1/2012

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California is a solid favorite with a 62% chance to beat Nevada. Isi Sofele is projected for 112 rushing yards and a 64% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 38% of simulations where Nevada wins, Cody Fajardo averages 1.31 TD passes vs 0.91 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.77 TDs to 1.37 interceptions. Cody Fajardo averages 87 rushing yards and 1.11 rushing TDs when Nevada wins and 77 yards and 0.6 TDs in losses. California has a 57% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 71% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CAL -10.5 --- Over/Under line is 55

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